MGM2Operate.XLS is a Microsoft Excel Workbook to estimate the economic impacts of park payroll, operations and construction on the local economy.
Like MGM2, MGM2Operate is a multi-page Excel spreadsheet. Inputs are entered on an INPUT page, calculations are carried out on a CALCULATIONS page, and results are summarized in a table on the RESULTS page. Select page tabs at the bottom of the spreadsheet to move from page to page.
Steps for Estimating Impacts of Park Operations
Step 1. On the Inputs page, enter (A) payroll, (B) operating expenses, and (C) construction expenses (if applicable) of the park unit for a given year.
Step 2. Select the economic multipliers that best represent the region around the park for which impacts are desired.
Step 3. View the impact estimates on the "Results" page.
Step 1. Enter park expenses in the shaded cells of Table 1.
| Table 1. Park Payroll Operating and Construction Expenses | |||
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| Expense Category |
Spending |
Percent to Local Firms |
Local Purchases |
| A. Payroll | |||
| Wages and Salaries | $ 600,000 | 100% | $ 600,000 |
| Benefits | 150,000 | 100% | 150,000 |
| Total Payroll | 750,000 | 750,000 | |
| Jobs (annual, full & part time) | 10 | ||
| Jobs -seasonal (annual equivalent) | 1 | ||
| B. Operating Expenses | |||
| Utilities | |||
| Electric | 48,500 | 50% | 24,250 |
| Gas | 6,350 | 50% | 3,175 |
| Telephone | 13,750 | 50% | 6,875 |
| Water/sewer | 4,490 | 100% | 4,490 |
| Postal service | 2,000 | 0% | - |
| Services | 30,000 | 10% | 3,000 |
| Auto rental/lease | - | 0% | - |
| Supplies | 80,000 | 50% | 40,000 |
| Gas and oil | 2,000 | 70% | 1,400 |
| Total Operating | 187,090 | 83,190 | |
| Payroll plus Operating | 937,090 | 833,190 | |
| C. Construction | |||
| Roads & Utilities | 10,000 | 80% | 8,000 |
| New Buildings | 2,000 | 75% | 1,500 |
| Repairs | 10,000 | 100% | 10,000 |
| Total Construction | 22,000 | 19,500 | |
Choose from four sets of generic multipliers to
represent
the economic characteristics of your region. Just as in the MGM2 model
for visitor spending, choose from a rural area, smaller metro region,
larger
metro region, or state level multipliers. You may inspect the
multipliers
in Table 3 on the calculations page if you wish.
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|
|
Table 4 reports the local economic impacts of the
local
purchases from Column D of the INPUT page. Impacts of payroll,
operating
expenses, and construction are reported separately.
| Table 4. Economic Impacts of Park Operations and Construction | ||||||
| Spending Category | Park Budget | Local Sales | Total Sales | Total Jobs | Total Personal Income | Total Value Added |
| A. Impacts of Park Payroll | ||||||
| Wages and Salaries | $ 600,000 | $ 600,000 | $ 600,000 | |||
| Benefits | 150,000 | 150,000 | 150,000 | |||
| NPS Jobs (annual, full & part time) | 10.0 | |||||
| NPS Jobs -seasonal (annual equivalent) | 1.0 | |||||
| Induced effects of NPS payroll | 309,480 | 5.3 | 88,102 | 175,072 | ||
| Total Payroll effects | 750,000 | 309,480 | 16.3 | 838,102 | 925,072 | |
| B. Impacts of Park Operations | ||||||
| Utilities + postal | 75,090 | 38,790 | 45,581 | 0.3 | 10,600 | 33,802 |
| Services | 30,000 | 3,000 | 4,019 | 0.1 | 1,453 | 2,048 |
| Supplies | 82,000 | 20,280 | 25,637 | 0.9 | 12,135 | 19,470 |
| Total Operating Expenses | 187,090 | 62,070 | 75,237 | 1 | 24,188 | 55,321 |
| Total Impacts of Park Operations (Salaries + Operating) | 937,090 | 62,070 | 384,716 | 33.9 | 950,391 | 1,155,465 |
| C. Construction Impacts | 22,000 | 19,500 | 25,029 | 0.4 | 9,758 | 11,601 |
| D. Total Impacts (Payroll, Operating, & Constr.) | 409,745 | 34 | 960,150 | 1,167,066 | ||
It is important that the findings be clearly understood and explained. This requires an understanding of the assumptions and inputs as well as the meaning of the outputs.
Inputs and assumptions: The results in the hypothetical example here are based on :
| Table 3. Multipliers for selected sectors - Generic Rural region | |||||||||
| Sector | Jobs/ MM sales | Personal inc/sales | Property Inc/sales | Value Added /sales | Sales II | JobsII/ $MMsales | IncomeII/ sales | VA II/sales | Sales I |
| Household income | 0.52 | 8.80 | 0.15 | 0.29 | 0.48 | ||||
| Electric | 3.78 | 0.20 | 0.56 | 0.89 | 1.11 | 5.80 | 0.24 | 0.95 | 1.04 |
| Gas | 1.67 | 0.09 | 0.13 | 0.29 | 1.32 | 5.04 | 0.18 | 0.46 | 1.27 |
| Telephone | 4.34 | 0.25 | 0.33 | 0.64 | 1.24 | 8.24 | 0.33 | 0.78 | 1.15 |
| Water/sewer | 16.29 | 0.28 | 0.32 | 0.67 | 1.31 | 22.19 | 0.41 | 0.85 | 1.20 |
| Postal service | 17.05 | 0.78 | -0.07 | 0.71 | 1.35 | 23.46 | 0.90 | 0.92 | 1.10 |
| Business Services | 17.49 | 0.36 | 0.10 | 0.47 | 1.34 | 23.73 | 0.48 | 0.68 | 1.20 |
| Auto rental/lease | 13.49 | 0.26 | 0.21 | 0.53 | 1.29 | 19.02 | 0.36 | 0.71 | 1.18 |
| Manufacturing | 10.64 | 0.23 | 0.16 | 0.39 | 1.32 | 16.11 | 0.34 | 0.58 | 1.21 |
| Retail Trade | 39.88 | 0.51 | 0.13 | 0.80 | 1.26 | 44.67 | 0.60 | 0.96 | 1.10 |
| Construction: Roads and Utilities | 9.93 | 0.28 | 0.02 | 0.31 | 1.25 | 14.50 | 0.37 | 0.45 | 1.15 |
| Construction: New Gov't Bldgs. | 9.56 | 0.38 | 0.02 | 0.40 | 1.30 | 15.48 | 0.49 | 0.58 | 1.16 |
| Repair | 17.39 | 0.50 | 0.03 | 0.53 | 1.31 | 23.49 | 0.61 | 0.71 | 1.14 |
1. Where do I include the park's impact on local property values, payments in-lieu of taxes to local governments, the value of volunteers, grants and other park benefits. Most of these benefits are not covered in a traditional economic impact analysis and should usually be handled separately. Payments in lieu of taxes could be included in the MGM2Operate model, but they are probably best handled by simply reporting the figures as an addendum. Assessing impacts on property values and local property taxes is a more complex undertaking. The value of volunteers and many other benefits are not covered by a traditional economic impact analysis as they do not involve direct expenditures. One could count what volunteers spend in the area in the same way as visitor spending. Remember that economic impact analysis traces actually flows of money as it circulates within the local economy, so many "non-market" benefits of parks are not covered in an economic impact analysis, although there are other methods for capturing these benefits. Grants represent revenue to the park, rather than expenses. The expenses associated with any special grants may be added to the base park budget (within each category) to include these in the impact assessment.
2. How is the "local region" defined. This is up to you to decide the geographic area for which impacts are desired. Normally this should include gateway communities, the area in which most park employees live, and locations of regular suppliers of goods and services to the park. Economic multipliers come from models that usually cover at least a single county.
3. How do I determine the percentage of spending that accrues to local firms. First, you must be clear about the intended local region (see FAQ #2). Then examine your operating budget and major or regular purchases to assess what percentage of each category goes to local firms. Utilities and construction expenses can be difficult to assess. If utilities are paid to local companies, include them as local. If the firm is located outside the region exclude them, or if payments go to a larger firm outside the region with some local service personnel and facilities, choose a percentage that reflects how much of the spending creates local income and jobs. For most parks, the largest impacts are from the NPS payroll, so it usually isn't worth the effort to fine-tune the allocations of purchases of supplies and utilities.
4. How do I avoid double counting of park revenues if using both the MGM2Operate and MGM2 visitor spending models? If using both models, the best practice is to not include any revenue from park visitor spending that accrues to the NPS. You would include in the MGM2 model visitor purchases that accrue to concessions or non-profit groups, whose expenses are not reflected in the park budget. You would exclude park entrance fees and campground receipts that accrue directly to NPS, as the impacts of the NPS operation itself are best estimated from park expenses, not revenues.
5. What time period does the model
cover? You should usually
enter the park budget (actual expenses, not proposed budget) for a
single
year. This is consistent with estimating spending by all visitors in a
given year. You likely do not need to bother converting from fiscal to
calendar years - any twelve month period should be fine. For
construction
projects that may cut across multiple years, estimate how much was
spent
in the current year. Secondary effects of the spending may not all
occur
within the same year as the original spending, but traditionally
impacts
are assumed to represent activity within a given year. If economic
activity
associated with the park is highly seasonal, most of the impacts may
take
place during a 4-6 month period (this is more true of visitor spending
than park operations). If the model predicts 12 jobs, it may actually
be
24 jobs for a six month period.
To run the MGM2Operate model
1. Download the MGM2Operate.xls Workbook (92K)
2. Open the Workbook in Excel, choose enable macros when opening.
3. Follow the instructions.
4. You may also Download
a short manual for MGM2Operate (PDF- 23K)
The MGM2Operate.xls Workbook has five pages
Welcome - instructions
Inputs - The main worksheet for entering payroll, operating and
construction
expenses
Calculations - where computations are made
Results - summary of results
Multipliers - the default generic multipliers