MGM2Operate

MGM2Operate.XLS is a Microsoft Excel Workbook to estimate the economic impacts of park payroll, operations and construction on the local economy.

Like MGM2, MGM2Operate is a multi-page Excel spreadsheet. Inputs are entered on an INPUT page, calculations are carried out on a CALCULATIONS page, and results are summarized in a table on the RESULTS page. Select page tabs at the bottom of the spreadsheet to move from page to page.

Steps for Estimating Impacts of Park Operations

Step 1. On the Inputs page, enter (A) payroll, (B) operating expenses, and (C) construction expenses (if applicable) of the park unit for a given year.

Step 2. Select the economic multipliers that best represent the region around the park for which impacts are desired.

Step 3. View the impact estimates on the "Results" page.


Step 1. Enter park expenses in the shaded cells of Table 1.

Table 1. Park Payroll Operating and Construction Expenses
 
INPUTS
 
 Expense Category
Column B

Spending

Column C

Percent to Local Firms

Column D

Local Purchases

A. Payroll

 
Wages and Salaries                $ 600,000 100%       $ 600,000
Benefits 150,000 100% 150,000
Total Payroll 750,000
750,000
Jobs (annual, full & part time) 10
 
Jobs -seasonal (annual equivalent) 1
 
B. Operating Expenses

 
Utilities

 
Electric 48,500 50% 24,250
Gas 6,350 50% 3,175
Telephone 13,750 50% 6,875
Water/sewer 4,490 100% 4,490
Postal service 2,000 0% -
Services 30,000 10% 3,000
Auto rental/lease - 0% -
Supplies 80,000 50% 40,000
Gas and oil 2,000 70% 1,400
Total Operating 187,090
83,190
Payroll plus Operating 937,090
833,190
C. Construction

 
Roads & Utilities 10,000 80% 8,000
New Buildings 2,000 75% 1,500
Repairs 10,000 100% 10,000
Total Construction 22,000
19,500

Other Notes

Step 2.  Select Multipliers for the Region

Choose from four sets of generic multipliers to represent the economic characteristics of your region. Just as in the MGM2 model for visitor spending, choose from a rural area, smaller metro region, larger metro region, or state level multipliers. You may inspect the multipliers in Table 3 on the calculations page if you wish.
 
Generic Multipliers
  • Rural
  • Small Metro
  • Large Metro
  • State

Guidance for selecting multipliers

Step 3. View, Interpret and Print Results

Table 4 reports the local economic impacts of the local purchases from Column D of the INPUT page. Impacts of payroll, operating expenses, and construction are reported separately.
 

Table 4. Economic Impacts of Park Operations and Construction
Spending Category Park Budget Local Sales Total Sales Total Jobs Total Personal Income Total Value Added
A. Impacts of Park Payroll            
     Wages and Salaries 600,000             $ 600,000       $ 600,000
     Benefits 150,000       150,000 150,000
     NPS Jobs (annual, full & part time)       10.0    
    NPS Jobs -seasonal (annual equivalent)       1.0    
    Induced effects of NPS payroll     309,480 5.3 88,102 175,072
    Total Payroll effects 750,000   309,480 16.3 838,102 925,072
B. Impacts of Park Operations            
Utilities + postal 75,090 38,790 45,581 0.3 10,600 33,802
Services 30,000 3,000 4,019 0.1 1,453 2,048
Supplies 82,000 20,280 25,637 0.9 12,135 19,470
  Total Operating Expenses 187,090 62,070 75,237 1 24,188 55,321
Total Impacts of Park Operations (Salaries + Operating) 937,090 62,070 384,716 33.9 950,391 1,155,465
C. Construction Impacts 22,000 19,500 25,029 0.4 9,758 11,601
             
D. Total Impacts (Payroll, Operating, & Constr.)   409,745 34 960,150 1,167,066

 

Interpreting the results

It is important that the findings be clearly understood and explained. This requires an understanding of the assumptions and inputs as well as the meaning of the outputs.

Inputs and assumptions: The results in the hypothetical example here are based on :

Definition of Terms   Total impacts are summarized in Table 4. Results - Estimates of Total Impacts are summarized in Table 4.

Table 3. Multipliers for selected sectors  - Generic Rural region
Sector Jobs/ MM sales Personal inc/sales Property Inc/sales Value Added /sales Sales II JobsII/ $MMsales IncomeII/ sales VA II/sales Sales I
Household income         0.52 8.80 0.15 0.29 0.48
Electric 3.78 0.20 0.56 0.89 1.11 5.80 0.24 0.95 1.04
Gas 1.67 0.09 0.13 0.29 1.32 5.04 0.18 0.46 1.27
Telephone 4.34 0.25 0.33 0.64 1.24 8.24 0.33 0.78 1.15
Water/sewer 16.29 0.28 0.32 0.67 1.31 22.19 0.41 0.85 1.20
Postal service 17.05 0.78 -0.07 0.71 1.35 23.46 0.90 0.92 1.10
Business Services 17.49 0.36 0.10 0.47 1.34 23.73 0.48 0.68 1.20
Auto rental/lease 13.49 0.26 0.21 0.53 1.29 19.02 0.36 0.71 1.18
Manufacturing 10.64 0.23 0.16 0.39 1.32 16.11 0.34 0.58 1.21
Retail Trade 39.88 0.51 0.13 0.80 1.26 44.67 0.60 0.96 1.10
Construction: Roads and Utilities 9.93 0.28 0.02 0.31 1.25 14.50 0.37 0.45 1.15
Construction: New Gov't Bldgs. 9.56 0.38 0.02 0.40 1.30 15.48 0.49 0.58 1.16
Repair 17.39 0.50 0.03 0.53 1.31 23.49 0.61 0.71 1.14


Some frequently asked questions:

1. Where do I include the park's impact on local property values, payments in-lieu of taxes to local governments, the value of volunteers, grants and other park benefits. Most of these benefits are not covered in a traditional economic impact analysis and should usually be handled separately. Payments in lieu of taxes could be included in the MGM2Operate model, but they are probably best handled by simply reporting the figures as an addendum. Assessing impacts on property values and local property taxes is a more complex undertaking. The value of volunteers and many other benefits are not covered by a traditional economic impact analysis as they do not involve direct expenditures. One could count what volunteers spend in the area in the same way as visitor spending. Remember that economic impact analysis traces actually flows of money as it circulates within the local economy, so many "non-market" benefits of parks are not covered in an economic impact analysis, although there are other methods for capturing these benefits. Grants represent revenue to the park, rather than expenses. The expenses associated with any special grants may be added to the base park budget (within each category) to include these in the impact assessment.

2. How is the "local region" defined. This is up to you to decide the geographic area for which impacts are desired. Normally this should include gateway communities, the area in which most park employees live, and locations of regular suppliers of goods and services to the park. Economic multipliers come from models that usually cover at least a single county.

3. How do I determine the percentage of spending that accrues to local firms.  First, you must be clear about the intended local region (see FAQ #2). Then examine your operating budget and major or regular purchases to assess what percentage of each category goes to local firms. Utilities and construction expenses can be difficult to assess. If utilities are paid to local companies, include them as local. If the firm is located outside the region exclude them, or if  payments go to a larger firm outside the region with some local service personnel and facilities, choose a percentage that reflects how much of the spending creates local income and jobs. For most parks, the largest impacts are from the NPS payroll, so it usually isn't worth the effort to fine-tune the allocations of purchases of supplies and utilities.

4. How do I avoid double counting of park revenues if using both the MGM2Operate and MGM2 visitor spending models? If using both models, the best practice is to not include any  revenue from park visitor spending that accrues to the NPS. You would include in the MGM2 model visitor purchases that accrue to concessions or non-profit groups, whose expenses are not reflected in the park budget. You would exclude park entrance fees and campground receipts that accrue directly to NPS, as the impacts of the NPS operation itself are best estimated from park expenses, not revenues.

5. What time period does the model cover? You should usually enter the park budget (actual expenses, not proposed budget) for a single year. This is consistent with estimating spending by all visitors in a given year. You likely do not need to bother converting from fiscal to calendar years - any twelve month period should be fine. For construction projects that may cut across multiple years, estimate how much was spent in the current year. Secondary effects of the spending may not all occur within the same year as the original spending, but traditionally impacts are assumed to represent activity within a given year. If economic activity associated with the park is highly seasonal, most of the impacts may take place during a 4-6 month period (this is more true of visitor spending than park operations). If the model predicts 12 jobs, it may actually be 24 jobs for a six month period.


Downloading Section

 
 To run the MGM2Operate model

1. Download the MGM2Operate.xls Workbook (92K)

2. Open the Workbook in Excel, choose enable macros when opening.

3. Follow the instructions.

4. You may also Download a short manual for MGM2Operate (PDF- 23K)
 

The MGM2Operate.xls Workbook has five pages

Welcome - instructions
Inputs - The main worksheet for entering payroll, operating and construction expenses
Calculations - where computations are made
Results - summary of results
Multipliers - the default generic multipliers